Fall 2008 Election Predictions

Again, I was 8 for 10 in my June 2008 election predictions and 8 for 10 in the election before that, so I am feeling pretty good about my predictions for tonight’s November 4, 2008 election.

California Propositions

Prop 1A – Safe, Reliable High-Speed Passenger Train Bond Act.
Proposition 1A will start the process of building a high speed passenger train stretching from Sacramento to San Diego.
Vote: Yes
Prediction: No

Prop 2 – Prevention of Farm Animal Cruelty Act.
Proposition 2 will force farms to allow enough room for certain animals to stand up, lay down, and turn 360 degrees without touching the enclosure.
Vote: No
Prediction: Yes


Prop 3 – Children’s Hospital Bond Act of 2008
Proposition 3 will create $750 million bonds to fund children hospitals.
Vote: No
Prediction: Yes

Prop 4 – Child and Teen Safety and Stop Predators Act: Sarah’s Law.
Proposition 4 will notify parents or legal guardians 48 hours before the minor will have their abortion.
Vote: Yes
Prediction: Yes

Prop 5 – Nonviolent Offender Rehabilitation Act of 2008.
Proposition 4 will shorten prison terms for nonviolent drug offenders.
Vote: No
Prediction: Yes

Prop 6 – Safe Neighborhoods Act: Stop Gang, Gun, and Street Crime.
Proposition 4 will lengthen prison terms for gang-related crime.
Vote: No
Prediction: Yes

Prop 7 – The Solar and Clean Energy Act of 2008
Proposition 7 will force all utilities to be using 50% renewable and clean alternative energy by 2025.
Vote: No
Prediction: Yes

Prop 8 – California Marriage Protection Act
Proposition 7 will make marriage as defined by a union of a man and a woman.
Vote: No
Prediction: No

Prop 9 – Victims’ Bill of Rights Act of 2008: Marsy’s Law
Proposition 9 will keep prison inmates in prison for a longer period of time.
Vote: Abstain
Prediction: Yes

Prop 10 – The California Renewable Energy and Clean Alternative Fuel Act
Proposition 10 will fund companies’ research, sale and marketing of clean fuel vehicles.
Vote: No
Prediction: Yes

CA: Prop 11 – Voters FIRST Act
Proposition 11 will change who decides on redistributing districts to elect public officials.
Vote: No
Prediction: No

Prop 12 – Veterans’ Bond Act of 2008
Proposition 12 will add $900 million to the Cal-Vet Home Loan Program.
Vote: Yes
Prediction: Yes

San Francisco Propositions

Prop A – San Francisco General Hospital and Trauma Center Earthquake Safety Bonds, 2008
Proposition A will use funds to rebuild and restructure the San Francisco General Acute Hospital.
Vote: Yes
Prediction: Yes

Prob B – Establishing Affordable Housing Fund
Proposition B will tax more to fund an affordable housing fund.
Vote: No
Prediction: Yes

Prop C – Prohibiting City Employees from Serving on Charter Boards and Commissions
Proposition C prohibits city employees from serving on boards and commissions.
Vote: No
Prediction: No

Prop D – Financing Pier 70 Waterfront District Development Plan upon Board of Supervisors’ Approval
Proposition D will use bonds to fund Pier 70 development.
Vote: Yes
Prediction: Yes

Prop E – Changing the Number of Signatures Required to Recall City Officials
Proposition E increases the number of signatures to recall a city official.
Vote: No
Prediction: No

Prop F – Holding All Scheduled City Elections Only in Even-Numbered Years
Proposition F will consolidate all elections into the even numbered years.
Vote: No
Prediction: Yes

Prop G – Allowing Retirement System Credit for Unpaid Parental Leave
Proposition G allows current employees to purchase retirement credit for their unpaid parental leave when the leave did not pay employees. Does not affect those who have already retired.
Vote: No
Prediction: Yes

Prop H – Setting Clean Energy Deadlines; Studying Options for Providing Energy; Changing Revenue Bond Authority to Pay for Public Utility Facilities
Proposition H will allow the City to take over PG&E’s electric infrastructure.
Vote: No
Prediction: No

Prop I – Creating the Office of an Independent Rate Payer Advocate
Proposition I will create an independent rate payer advocate to oversee the PUC rates.
Vote: Yes
Prediction: Yes

Prop J – Creating a Historic Preservation Commission
Proposition J will create a Historic Preservation Commission to oversee who can demolish historic buildings.
Vote: Yes
Prediction: Yes

Prop K – Changing the Enforcement of Laws Related to Prostitution and Sex Workers
Proposition K will force the police to not go out of their way to arrest prostitutes and sex workers.
Vote: No
Prediction: Yes

Prop L – Funding the Community Justice Center
Proposition L will allow the CJC to use the funds the previous election gave.
Vote: Yes
Prediction: Yes

Prop M – Changing the Residential Rent Ordinance to Prohibit Specific Acts of Harassment of Tenants by Landlords
Proposition M will make it illegal for landlords to use aggressive tactics to force renters out.
Vote: Yes
Prediction: Yes

Prop N – Changing Real Property Transfer Tax Rates
Proposition N will increase the tax on the transfer of sold properties.
Vote: Yes
Prediction: No

Prop O – Replacing the Emergency Response Fee with an Access Line Tax and Revising the Telephone Users Tax
Proposition O will change the 911 fee to a 911 tax.
Vote: No
Prediction: Yes

Prop P – Changing the Composition of the San Francisco County Transportation Authority Board
Proposition P will give the mayor more power in choosing who presides over the Transportation Authority Board.
Vote: Yes
Prediction: No

Prop Q – Modifying the Payroll Expense Tax
Proposition Q will raise the payroll expense tax for those who pay a total of $250,000 worth of wages.
Vote: Abstain
Prediction: No

Prop R – Renaming the Oceanside Water Treatment Plant
Proposition R will rename the water treatment plant to the George W. Bush Plant.
Vote: No
Prediction: No

Prop S – Policy Regarding Budget Set-Asides and Identification of Replacement Funds
Proposition S will make it so that voters cannot approve of more funding until the previous funding has been used.
Vote: Yes
Prediction: Yes

Prop T – Free and Low-Cost Substance Abuse Treatment Programs
Proposition T will make substance abuse treatment programs available to everyone who needs it.
Vote: No
Prediction: Yes

Prop U – Policy Against Funding the Deployment of Armed Forces in Iraq
Proposition U will ask that all representatives of the city vote against funding armed forces in Iraq.
Vote: No
Prediction: Yes

Prop V – Policy Against Terminating Junior Reserve Officers’ Training Corps (JROTC) Programs in Public High Schools
Proposition V will let the JROTC program continue in public high schools.
Vote: Abstain
Prediction: No

New President

As I write this, Barack Obama and Joe Biden will become the new President and Vice President for the United States of America. Congratulations to the candidates.

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